Illustration of a robot with a pensive posture standing in from of massive percentage and question-mark signs

Illustration: Carolina Moscoso

Nov 10th 2025|4 min read

The leaders of the big three artificial-intelligence (AI) labs promise great things, and soon. Sam Altman, the boss of OpenAI, thinks next year computers will be capable of “novel insights”. Dario Amodei, who runs Anthropic, says “powerful AI” (what others call AGI—artificial general intelligence) could arrive in the same timeframe. Demis Hassabis of Google DeepMind has suggested that “within the next decade or so”, AI could cure all diseases.

Baby bottle with measurement markings and a smiling pink nipple on a blue background.

A new project aims to predict how quickly AI will progress